Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.415647 0.454909 0.497446 0.547165 0.603948 0.667090 0.743050
2025-08-10 0.339460 0.391399 0.451929 0.528520 0.624059 0.740968 0.897503
2025-08-17 0.296356 0.353759 0.424046 0.518074 0.643165 0.807813 1.048025
2025-08-24 0.266684 0.326777 0.403190 0.509976 0.659619 0.868952 1.198046
2025-08-31 0.243953 0.305298 0.385739 0.502312 0.673068 0.925038 1.349008
2025-09-07 0.230036 0.293567 0.379305 0.507931 0.704643 1.010827 1.563566
2025-09-14 0.213780 0.276979 0.364204 0.498696 0.711665 1.058115 1.722303
2025-09-21 0.202156 0.265726 0.355373 0.497341 0.730039 1.125893 1.933983
2025-09-28 0.188379 0.250325 0.339121 0.482650 0.724314 1.150287 2.065672
2025-10-05 0.184589 0.248968 0.343351 0.500334 0.774908 1.284423 2.466633
2025-10-12 0.179813 0.245731 0.344318 0.512564 0.817283 1.410685 2.894403
2025-10-19 0.173551 0.239791 0.340537 0.516275 0.844310 1.510963 3.296011
2025-10-26 0.163516 0.227764 0.326703 0.502140 0.837192 1.540913 3.530821
2025-11-02 0.153883 0.215898 0.312468 0.486253 0.825140 1.558949 3.744240
2025-11-09 0.146402 0.206986 0.302455 0.477011 0.825207 1.604989 4.067789
2025-11-16 0.139937 0.199320 0.293985 0.469786 0.828421 1.659259 4.448114
2025-11-23 0.134058 0.192280 0.286105 0.462936 0.831504 1.713961 4.862593
2025-11-30 0.130709 0.189136 0.284602 0.467960 0.860939 1.843763 5.656530
2025-12-07 0.125359 0.182452 0.276593 0.459702 0.859596 1.890085 6.132753
2025-12-14 0.121525 0.178085 0.272358 0.458490 0.874268 1.985505 6.916788
2025-12-21 0.116068 0.170773 0.262538 0.445339 0.859239 1.990266 7.250674
2025-12-28 0.115384 0.171418 0.266866 0.461167 0.915985 2.229845 9.137570
2026-01-04 0.113973 0.170746 0.268754 0.472100 0.962431 2.452800 11.278943